The Predictive Power of a Flaw in Implied Volatility
Volatility & Momentum Anyone who’s had money in the markets long enough knows that markets go through periods of relative calm and other periods of stormy & choppy waters. At the core, these movements are driven by momentum of “fear” and “greed” aggregated across all investors in the market – and investors in a given […]
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Using Futures to Analyze the Future
The Wisdom of Crowds We’ve all been taught that the price of a stock leverages the “wisdom of the crowd” to correctly price in everything that is known about that asset at that time. When analysts, pundits, and talking heads predict which direction the price of the stock is going to move – they are […]
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Kosha Comparison – XOM vs Chevron
In this analysis, Kenny Polcari looks at two equities from the energy sector to see how they performed on Buy & Hold vs timed with Vistalytics Kosha. Check it out here:
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Kosha Comparison – Costco vs Walmart
Kenny Polcari is back with another comparison of a portfolio using a standard “Buy & Hold” strategy, vs the same portfolio timed with Vistalytics Kosha.In this quick video, Kenny breaks down how a Costco and Walmart would have done on Buy & Hold vs Kosha:
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Kosha Comparison – Citigroup vs JP Morgan vs Goldman Sachs
When we talk to people about the power of the Kosha timing model, the number one question we get asked is, “How will this perform on my portfolio?”To help answer this question, we asked veteran Wall Street trader Kenny Polcari to give us a breakdown on some popular stocks.In this quick video, Kenny breaks down […]
Read MoreIntroducing Kosha Timing Model
With all of the noise out there in the market, it can seem like there is no way to gain an edge, but there is.And it’s been hiding in plain sight.If you could sift through all of the options contracts on any given stock – every put, every call, and every contract date – you […]
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Market pulls back!
As we expected, volatility has returned. Markets are down this week -2% on Nasdaq & 1.3% on SP500. This is after healthy gains since October 2019. We expect to see support coming in near 50DMA. This correction was overdue and healthy for the intermediate term trend. Global central banks are pro-active in minimizing the effect […]
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China Coronavirus Outbreak!
It has been three weeks since China officially declared the Coronavirus outbreak. In past week new cases have declined. Concern is expressed in news media on its effect on global economy. Markets have taken this in stride with testing of 50 DMA support two weeks ago and launching new highs past week. In short, market […]
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Earnings Report Season begins!
Trade optimism and Earnings results continue to lift stocks up. S&P trading at new high north of 3300 level with several sectors participating. Small caps are leading the market with Russel 2000 index getting close to high. China’s GDP grew 6% year over year in the fourth quarter 2019. We are seeing stabilization in global […]
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Brace for higher volatility
Happy NEW YEAR! Stocks closes the week to new high. Stocks are up 13% as of Friday, Jan 10, 2020 for the past three months. This strength implies further advances this year. Earnings reports for the fourth quarter of 2019 will start rolling in on Tuesday. Forward guidance will be important during this earnings season. […]
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